11 September 2018

20th OxMetrics User Conference

Programme

Centre for Econometric Analysis, Cass Business School
106 Bunhill Row, London, EC1Y 8TZ

Room 2002

Tuesday 11th September 2018

8:30-10:30  

Session 4: Factor Models and Estimation
Chairperson: Siem Jan Koopman

Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Models after the Great Recession
Pierre-Alain Pionnier (OECD) with C. Doz and L. Ferrara

Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference for High Dimensional Nonlinear Factor Models with Application to Factor-augmented Regressions
Fa Wang (Cass Business School, London, UK)

Two-Step Estimation of Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models: General Consistency Results in Stationary and Non-Stationary Frameworks
Catherine Doz (Paris School of Economics and University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, France)

Missing Observations in Observation-Driven Time Series Models
Siem Jan Koopman (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute, The Netherlands; and CREATES, Aarhus University, Denmark) with F. Blasques and P. Gorgi.

10:30–11:00 Coffee/Tea Break
11:00–12:30

Session 5: Finance
Chairperson:  Giovanni Urga

High-Frequency Quoting and Liquidity Commonality
Riccardo Borghi (Cass Business School, UK)

Small-sample Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Possibly Non-Stationary Regressors and GARCH-type Effects
Richard Luger (Laval University, Canada) with S. Gungor.

What Triggers Systemic Risk in the European Financial System?
Giovanni Urga (Cass Business School, UK) with C. Bellavite Pellegrini, P. Cincinelli and M. Meoli.

12:30-13:30 Lunch

13:30-15:00

Session 6: Macro and (G)VAR
Chairperson:Sebastien Laurent

Identification and Persistence-Robust Exact Inference in DSGE Models
Lynda Khalaf (Carleton University, Canada)  with Z. Lin and A. Reza

Modelling how Macroeconomic Shocks affects Regional Employment: Analysing the Brazilian Formal Labour Market using the Global VAR Approach
Emerson Fernandes Marçal (Sao Paulo School of Economics, Brasil) with Bruno Tebaldi

Forecasting Long Memory through a VAR Model
Sebastien Laurent (Aix-Marseille University, France) with L. Bauwens and G. Chevillon

15:00–15:30 Coffee/Tea Break

15:30-17:00

Session 7: Volatility
Chairperson: Lynda Khalaf

Models for Realized Volatility
Andrew Harvey (Cambridge University, UK)

On the Robustness of the Principal Volatility Components
Pedro L. Valls Pereira (Sao Paulo School of Economics and Centre of Quantitative Studies in Economics and Finance, Brazil) with C. Trucios and L.K. Hotta

Simple Estimators and Inference for Higher-order Stochastic Volatility Models
Jean-Marie Dufour (McGill University, Canada) with N. Ahsan.

17:00 Closing Remarks.